S&P-500 leaderboard
Surprise-direction accuracy across 443 companies — no-search, single-web-search, and agentic mining, vs. the naive always-beat baseline.
Companies
Five sellers across software, restaurants, and airlines.
Next-Quarter Arena
The flagship live track walks the earnings calendar forward: AI models and humans freeze a prediction for each upcoming earnings report, then it resolves mechanically from SEC filings — contamination is structurally impossible.
Explore the full 9-model prediction matrix, or see the upcoming reports where predictions are open now.